Sports playing can be quite profitable if an individual know the strategies the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a excellent illustration. My spouse and i analyzed typically the Western Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West California had typically the edge in the activity. Yet , My partner and i also came to the realization that there was a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This activity provides all the indications of being one associated with the most effective games associated with the year, together with both equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming again from becoming down major in the final 1 / 4 to winning in overtime.
So what’s the game search like this year?
In case this match were getting played with some sort of neutral field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to California Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.
These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the extra reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like substantially, but in a close up match-up this way, that more point could make the difference between a new push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.
And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since January eighteen, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points for every game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 7 points every game with home. In case a person didn’t do the figures, that means given that their particular last home reduction they already have averaged beating their very own competitors by simply about 34 details per game.
Even greater remarkable, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 things per video game at home given that the year 2003.
Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
The majority of those stats ended up piled up during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They’ve got recent games where they also have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
In essence the fact that this is still a good close video game to call. Nonetheless www.phonedoctor.com i look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off that game and not wager at all. There happen to be better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple positive aspects.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge has not been so big that they could very well still win following building so many mistakes. By not betting on this kind of activity, people critical regarding sports betting saved money many people can offer better employ on upcoming games.
